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North Korean May 28, 2007
North Korean Counterfeiting of U.S. Currency
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
Order Code RL33324
North Korean Counterfeiting of U.S. Currency
March 22, 2006
Raphael F. Perl
Specialist in International Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Dick K. Nanto
Specialist in Industry and Trade
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
North Korean Counterfeiting of U.S. Currency
Summary
The United States has accused the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea
(DPRK or North Korea) of counterfeiting U.S. $100 Federal Reserve notes
(supernotes) and passing them off in various countries. This is one of
several illicit
activities by North Korea apparently done to generate foreign exchange
that is used
to purchase imports or finance government activities abroad.
Although Pyongyang denies complicity in any counterfeiting operation, at
least
$45 million in such supernotes of North Korean origin have been detected
in
circulation, and estimates are that the country earns from $15 to $25
million per year
from counterfeiting. The illegal nature of any counterfeiting activity
makes opensource
information on the scope and scale of DPRK counterfeiting and
distribution
operations incomplete. South Korean intelligence has corroborated
information on
North Korean production of forged currency prior to 1998, and certain
individuals
have been indicted in U.S. courts for distributing such forged currency.
Media
reports in January 2006 state that Chinese investigators have
independently
confirmed allegations of DPRK counterfeiting.
For the United States, North Korean counterfeiting represents a direct
attack on
a protected national asset; might undermine confidence in the U.S.
dollar and depress
its value; and, if done extensively enough, potentially damage the U.S.
economy.
The earnings from counterfeiting also could be significant to Pyongyang,
and may
be used to purchase weapons technology, fund travel abroad, meet “slush
fund”
purchases of luxury foreign goods, or even underwrite the DPRK’s nuclear
program.
U.S. policy toward the alleged counterfeiting is split between law
enforcement
efforts and political and diplomatic pressures. On the law enforcement
side,
individuals have been indicted and the Banco Delta Asia bank in Macao (a
territory
of China) has been named as a primary money laundering concern under the
Patriot
Act. This started a financial chain reaction under which banks, not only
from the
United States, but from other nations have declined to deal with even
some legitimate
North Korea traders. North Koreans appear to be moving their
international bank
accounts to Chinese and other banks. Pyongyang has cited the Banco Delta
Asia
action in refusing to return to the six-party talks on its nuclear
program.
The political/security track attempts to stop the alleged counterfeiting
activity
though diplomatic pressures, the Illicit Activities Initiative, the
Proliferation Security
Initiative, and back channel talks. Bush Administration policymakers
reportedly are
divided between those favoring a negotiated settlement, (verifiable
curtailment of
illicit activities and a return to the six-party talks) and those
favoring an approach of
tightening economic sanctions and other measures designed to undermine
support for
the ruling regime and compel a change in policy. Currently the
Administration’s
policy reportedly is to pressure North Korea, but keep the negotiations
going. This
report will be updated as needed.
Contents
U.S. Interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Limits on Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
The Need to Counterfeit Currency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Alleged Areas of DPRK Criminal Activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Amount of Bogus U.S. Currency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Denial of Counterfeiting by North Korea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
State-Sponsored Counterfeiting? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
A Summary of Main Points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Policy Implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
1 See section “Amount of Bogus U.S. Currency,” below.
North Korean Counterfeiting of U.S.
Currency
The United States has accused the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea
(DPRK or North Korea) of counterfeiting U.S. $100 Federal Reserve notes
(supernotes) and passing them off in various countries. This is one of
several illicit
activities by North Korea apparently done to generate foreign exchange
that is used
to purchase imports or finance government activities abroad.
The purpose of this report is to provide a summary of what is known from
open
sources on the DPRK’s alleged counterfeiting of U.S. currency, examine
North
Korean motives and methods, and discuss U.S. interests and policy
options.
Although Pyongyang denies complicity in any counterfeiting operation,
estimates are that at least $45 million in such supernotes of North
Korean origin are
in circulation and that the country earns from $15 to $25 million per
year from
counterfeiting.1 South Korean intelligence has corroborated information
on past
production of forged currency — at least until 1998 — and several U.S.
court
indictments indicate that certain individuals have been accused of
distributing such
forged currency more recently.
U.S. Interests
For the United States large-scale counterfeiting of U.S. currency,
whether done
by North Korea or not, has a direct bearing on U.S. interests. The
counterfeiting,
itself, could undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar and, if done
extensively enough,
potentially damage the U.S. economy. It also is a direct attack on a
protected asset
of the United States and a violation of U.S. and other laws. If being
done by the
DPRK government, it violates accepted international norms. It also could
affect the
willingness of financial institutions in certain areas to accept
legitimate U.S.
currency, or it might induce them to impose surcharges when exchanging
certain U.S.
banknotes for their currency.
In a broader sense, the counterfeiting, to the extent that North Korea
is the
nation involved, arguably affects U.S. national security. North Korea is
a Stalinist
regime with self-announced aspirations to become a nuclear power. It is
led by a
communist dictator with a taste for luxury imports and need to subsidize
his inner
circle of supporters and broader ranks of party cadres. Yet the North
Korean
economy scarcely produces enough to feed its population and incurs a
billion-dollar
trade deficit each year. Proceeds from counterfeiting could be used to
maintain the
CRS-2
2 See Department of the Treasury — Budget in Brief FY 2007, p. 87 of the
hard copy of the
publication.
regime’s power or contribute to instability in East Asia. In February
2006,
Pyongyang claimed that it would not return to the six-party talks on
ending its
nuclear weapons program because of financial measures taken by the
United States
to prevent the country from laundering proceeds from its alleged illicit
activities
through a Macao bank. This is the second such boycott of the talks.
Pyongyang
justified its first boycott (August 2004 to July 2005) citing U.S.
“hostile policies.”
The United States is ratcheting up a two-pronged approach to stem the
alleged
North Korean counterfeiting of U.S. currency. The first is through law
enforcement
initiatives. The second is through political and diplomatic efforts. The
immediate
goal is to bring a verifiable halt to both the production and
distribution of bogus U.S.
currency by North Korea. In the broader perspective, curbing North
Korea’s illicit
activities is one piece of an overall strategy to defuse tensions in
Northeast Asia and
induce Pyongyang to adopt policies less inimical to its own people, the
region, and
the world.
A redesign of the U.S. $100 bill is currently in progress to include
enhanced
technologies to deter counterfeiters. The Department of the Treasury
expects to
introduce the redesigned note to the public in 2007.2 However, bills
previously
produced, are expected to remain in circulation for the foreseeable
future making it
possible for the DPRK to continue to circulate earlier production runs
of its
counterfeit supernotes.
Limits on Information
Because counterfeiting is a form of clandestine criminal activity, a
goal of those
engaged in it is that it remain clandestine and undetected to the
maximum extent
possible. Thus, to the extent that the United States and other countries
have
information on the scope and scale of DPRK counterfeiting and
distribution
operations, such information is likely to be incomplete. As the DPRK is
a relatively
closed society, information on any production of counterfeit U.S.
currency there —
other than that received from defectors — is likely to be the product of
intelligence
sources and methods. Hence, it is unlikely that such information would
be made
public for fear of compromising ongoing intelligence gathering
operations.
On the other hand, involvement of DPRK citizens and officials in the
distribution of so called “supernotes” is more readily demonstrated once
criminal
investigations have been completed, arrests have been made, indictments
issued, and
convictions/and or confessions obtained. Indeed, a number of such
indictments have
been issued, and presumably a number of ongoing investigations remain in
the
pipeline. U.S. officials appear to be increasingly sensitive to a need
to support public
allegations with the weight of de facto legal evidence — fueling
speculation that
CRS-3
3 Pichirallo, Joe. “Indictments Depict Noriega As Drug-Trafficking
Kingpin; U.S. Had
Long Backed Panamanian Leader.” The Washington Post, February 6, 1988.
pg. a.01.
4 Note that such estimates of scale of the DPRK’s foreign exchange
deficit may be
exaggerated as the amount may be offset by undetermined amounts of aid
from the Peoples
Republic of China.
5 See generally CRS Report RL32167, Drug Trafficking and North Korea:
Issues for U.S.
Policy, by Raphael Perl.
6 In July 2004, for example, the U.S. Secret Service reportedly
uncovered a network selling
counterfeit North Korean made cigarettes, pharmaceuticals, and $100
bills. See Frederik
Balfour et. al., “Fakes,” Business Week, February 7, 2005. Criminal
indictments
subsequently ensued. See generally: BBC News, “What is a superdollar?”,
June 20, 2004.
“Noreiga-type” criminal indictments3 against the North Korean leadership
may be a
policy option under active consideration.
Also at issue is the credibility of information provided U.S.
authorities by the
South Korean government and its National Intelligence Services in
matters involving
Pyongyang’s criminal activities. Whereas in past years Seoul’s reporting
on such
matters was considered highly reliable, some now suggest downplaying the
scope of
any such activity better dovetails with the goals and objectives of
Seoul’s more recent
conciliatory unification policy vis-a-vis the North.
The Need to Counterfeit Currency
North Korea needs to raise approximately $1 billion per year to fund its
merchandise trade deficit.4 The DPRK imports more than it exports and
must
generate enough foreign exchange to cover the difference through some
means —
either legal or illegal. Legal means include borrowing, foreign
investments, foreign
aid, remittances from overseas Koreans, selling military equipment not
reflected in
trade data, and by selling services abroad. Illegal methods include the
counterfeiting
of hard currency, illegal sales of military equipment or technology,
sales of illegal
drugs, or by shipping illegal cargo between third countries. The country
also can dip
into its meager foreign exchange reserves. North Korea considers the
United States
to be a hostile nation and often takes actions commensurate with that
policy.
Alleged Areas of DPRK Criminal Activities
Allegations of North Korean drug production, trafficking, and crime-
for- profit
activity have become the focus of rising attention in Congress, the
Administration,
and the press, as well as in the diplomatic community.5 Areas of DPRK
criminal
activity commonly cited include production and trafficking in: (1)
heroin and
methamphetamines; (2) counterfeit cigarettes; (3) counterfeit
pharmaceuticals (for
example “USA” manufactured Viagra); and (4) counterfeit currency (e.g.,
U.S. $100
bill “supernotes”).6
CRS-4
7 Press conference of the President, January 26, 2006, p.9. [http://www.whitehouse.gov/
news/releases/2006/01/20060126.html]
8 See testimony of John Negroponte before the Senate Intelligence
Committee on the issue
of Worldwide Threats to the United States, February 2, 2005. Note that
Negroponte’s
remarks came at a time when the six-party talks on North Korea’s nuclear
ambitions
remained stalled over North Korea’s insistence that the United States
remove proposed
Treasury Department sanctions against Banco Delta Asia for its alleged
role in laundering
proceeds of DRPK criminal activity and distributing of DPRK produced
counterfeit U.S.
currency. See “North Korean Counterfeiting Complicates Nuclear Crisis,”
by Martin
Fackler, New York Times, January 29, 2006, p. 3.
9 Bach, William. Hearing Testimony. Drugs, Counterfeiting, and Weapons
Proliferation:
The North Korean Connection. Hearing Before the Financial Management,
the Budget, and
International Security Subcommittee of the Committee on Governmental
Affairs, United
States Senate 108th Congress, First Session, S.Hrg. 108-157, May 20,
2003. p. 6.
10 U.S. Department of State, Bureau for International Narcotics and Law
Enforcement
(continued...)
DPRK production and trafficking of “supernotes” have been addressed in
2006
by both National Intelligence Director John Negroponte and President
George W.
Bush. In a January 26, 2006, White House Press Conference, President
Bush — in
commenting on the issue of income generated by North Korean criminal
activity —
remarked:
When somebody is counterfeiting our money, we want to stop them from
doing
that. And so we are aggressively saying to the North Koreans, just —
don’t
counterfeit our money. And we are working with others to prevent their
illicit
activities.7
Shortly thereafter, National Intelligence Director John Negroponte, in
testimony
before Congress, stated that North Korea “produces and smuggles abroad
counterfeit
U.S. currency as well as narcotics and other contraband.”8
In a Senate Committee on Government Affairs hearing in 2003, William
Bach,
the Director of the Office of African, Asian and European Affairs in the
Bureau for
International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs of the U.S.
Department of
State, stated:
The U.S. Secret Service Counterfeit Division is aware of numerous cases
of
counterfeiting with North Korean connections. Typical of such cases was
one
reported in Macao in 1994, when North Korean trading company executives,
who carried diplomatic passports, were arrested for depositing $250,000
in
counterfeit notes in a Macao bank. There are numerous other
counterfeiting
incidents with links to Macao banks, North Korea, and North Korean
diplomats.9
The State Department’s 2006 International Narcotics Control Strategy
Report
released by the Bureau for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement
Affairs
states that, for decades, citizens of the DPRK “have been apprehended
trafficking in
narcotics and engaged in other forms of criminal behavior, including
passing
counterfeit U.S. currency.” These have been carried out in league with
criminal
organizations around the world.10
CRS-5
10 (...continued)
Affairs. International Narcotics Control Strategy Report — 2006. March
2006. Part II.
11 See “The ‘Soprano State?’ North Korean Involvement in Criminal
Activity and
Implications for International Security,” by Sheena E. Chestnut
(hereinafter cited as
Chestnut), Stanford University Honors Thesis, May 20, 2005, p.81 citing
Cumings, Bruce,
Korea’s Place in the Sun: A Modern History (Norton, New York) 1997, and
Michishita,
Narushigwe, “Calculated Adventurism: North Korea’s Military-Diplomatic
Campaigns,”
Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Vol. XVI, No.2, Fall 2004. Note that
the term
“Soprano State”was originally coined by U.S. News and World Report
investigative
journalist David Kaplan in 2003; see “The Far East Sopranos,” by David
E. Kaplan, U.S.
News and World Report, January 27, 2003.
12 See “Seoul’s U-Turn on N. Korean Counterfeiting Could be Fatal,”
Chosun Ilbo (English
Edition), December 25, 2005. The title of the 1988 report is cited as “A
New Threat in the
21st Century: Realities and Responses to International Crimes.”
13 See “Korea Exchange Bank cuts ties with Macau bank accused of
laundering money for
North Korea,” Associated Press Report (Seoul) Feb. 3, 2006. See also “No
sign of North
Korea making fake bills since 1998: spy agency,” Yonhap, Feb. 3, 2006.
Note that media
reports contain at least a handful of reports by defectors that lend
credence to the notion that
the DPRK produced counterfeit greenbacks under government direction
prior to 1996. For
a consolidated overview of such reports see Sheena Chestnut, Soprano
State, pp. 86-89.
14 See “Seeking international cooperation to stop manufacturing of North
Korea’s money,”
Chosun Ilbo (Internet Version), December 27, 2005. Media report
suggestions that the
DPRK may have ceased production of counterfeit greenbacks prior to the
end of 1998,
however, may be contradicted by at least one defector who fled the North
in 2000.
According to one press report, the defector, a chemist connected to the
Sean Garland case,
(continued...)
Counterfeiting of foreign currency is apparently a phenomenon that is
not new
to the government of North Korea. Seoul’s War Memorial Museum reportedly
contains DPRK-manufactured South Korean currency from the 1950’s, the
production of which reportedly continued into the 1960’s.11 South Korean
media
reports cite a 1998 South Korean National Intelligence Service (NIS)
Report to the
effect that North Korea forges and circulates U.S. $100 banknotes worth
$15 million
a year. Subsequent reports to the South Korean National Assembly in the
same year
and in 1999 are cited in the media as stating that North Korea operates
three banknote
forging agencies and that more than $4.6 million in bogus dollar bills
had been
uncovered on thirteen occasions since 1994.12
Subsequent press reports (of February 2, 2006) cite a Uri Party Member
of
Parliament’s account of a closed briefing by South Korea’s National
Intelligence
Service to members of Korea’s National Assembly to the effect that North
Koreans
were arrested abroad for counterfeiting offenses in the 1990’s but that
the Service had
no evidence of the North making bogus currency after 1998.13 Informed
South
Korean sources have confirmed the above stated content of the briefing,
but insist
that the NIS lack of hard evidence of DPRK supernote production after
1998 should
not necessarily be construed to mean that such activity has ceased. Post
-1998 South
Korean media reports note that South Korean authorities have continued
to seize
bogus U.S. currency — including 1,400 counterfeit U.S. $100 bills in
April 2005, but
that they have not traced the source.14 Subsequent press reports state
that the United
CRS-6
14 (...continued)
was reportedly part of a team of North Korean experts ordered to produce
fake U.S. $100
bills. However, what is publically known about him, his activities, and
their connection to
the DPRK regime appears at this point to be anecdotal and sketchy at
best. See
“Counterfeiting cases point to North Korea,” by Josh Meyer and Barbara
Demick, L. A.
Times, Dec. 12, 2005. Note that often statements by individuals termed
“North Korean
defectors,” have been considered unreliable when it comes to intimate
knowledge of highly
secretive, closed, DPRK programs.
15 See “U.S. says S. Korea fake notes made in North,” by Jon Herskovitz
and Jack Kim,
Reuters, Feb. 27, 2006. Accounts in subsidiaries of the Bank of China,
Hong Kong have
been frozen as a result of reported links to the DPRK’s trade in
supernotes, and other
criminal activities. See “HK link to Pyongyang ‘supernotes’ N Koreans
have cut counterfeit
deals in the city, with payments made via Bank of China subsidiary,” by
Greg Torode, South
China Morning Post, February 26, 2006.
16 See “Seeking international cooperation to stop manufacturing of North
Korea’s money,”
Chosun Ilbo (Internet Version), December 27, 2005.
17 See “North Korean Counterfeiting Complicates Nuclear Crisis,” by
Martin Fackler, New
York Times, January 29, 2006, p. 3.
18 See generally, remarks of Acting Assistant Attorney General, John C.
Richter of Aug.22,
2005. [http://www.usdoj.gov/criminal/press_room/speeches/2005_4193_
rmrksOprSmokngDrgnNroylChrm082405O.pdf]
States has provided South Korea with examples of DPRK source counterfeit
2001
& 2003 series $100 notes. Moreover, the U.S. has reportedly determined
that at least
$140,000 worth of counterfeit notes seized by South Korean police in
April 2005 was
manufactured in the DPRK as part of a batch produced in 2001, and
distributed by
Pyongyang.15
On June 13, 2003, South Korea, the United States and Japan held a North
Korea
policy coordination group meeting and announced an agreement that
reportedly
stated, “The three countries’ delegations express concern about the
illegal activities
of organizations in North Korea, including drug smuggling and money
counterfeiting.”16 Moreover, media reports as recent as January 20, 2006
stated that
Chinese investigators have independently confirmed allegations of DPRK
counterfeiting.17
Arrests and indictments point to DPRK trafficking in bogus U.S. currency
as
recently as 2005. In August 2005, federal law enforcement authorities
completed two
undercover operations in New Jersey and in California which focused on
the
activities of members of China’s Triad criminal syndicates. The
operations, named
Royal Charm and Smoking Dragon, reportedly netted some $4 million in
supernotes
believed to be of North Korean origin. Illicit narcotics, and
counterfeit brand
cigarettes and pharmaceuticals were seized as well. U.S. government
authorities
indicate there is the potential that ensuing trials and/or the plea
bargaining process
will reveal direct links between some of the smugglers and North Korean
officials or
government entities.18
One of the indictments issued in the above cited cases identifies Chao
Tung Wu,
a Taiwanese in custody for dealing in counterfeit bills, and alleges
that he told
CRS-7
19 See “Arrest ties Pyongyang to counterfeit $100 bills,” by Bill Gertz,
Washington Times,
Sept. 20, 2005, p. A1.
20 See “North Korean Counterfeiting Complicates Nuclear Crisis” by
Martin Fackler, New
York Times, January 29, 2006, p. 3. See “Garland stands accused by US
over counterfeit
made in North Korea,” Irish Times, October 17, 2005. Garland was
arrested October 7,
2005, as a result of pending U.S. proceedings against him. See also
Department of Justice
Press Release of October 8, 2005, on Arrest of Leader of Irish Workers
Party.
21 See Federal Register, Vol. 70 No. 181, Sept. 20, 2005(Notices), p.
55214. The finding
asserts that at least one regular North-Korean-front client of BDA was
widely reported to
be conducting “numerous illegal activities, including distributing
counterfeit currency and
smuggling counterfeit tobacco products” for over a decade. See also
Department of
Treasury Press Release of September 15, 2005, (JS-2720) on Treasury
Designation of Banco
Delta Asia as a Primary Money Laundering Concern and Treasury Dept.
FINCEN Advisory
of December 13, 2005, on Guidelines to Financial Institutions on the
Provision of Banking
Services to North Korean Government Agencies and Associated Front
Companies Engaged
in Illicit Activities which encourages financial institutions worldwide
to take precautions
that they are not used as a conduit for the laundering of proceeds of
DPRK illicit activities.
22 See Federal Register, Vol. 70 No. 181, Sept. 20, 2005(Proposed
Rules), p. 55217. Note
that the practical effect of such special measures, if and when put into
effect, would be to
prohibit BDA and BDA affiliated financial institutions from doing
business in the United
States.
23 See Wall Street Journal Asia, “North Korea’s economy feels fallout of
U.S. move-Lenders
sever ties after sanction threat against Macau bank,” by Gordon
Fairclough, Feb. 14, 2006.
Note that as generally private North Korean individuals do not hold
accounts outside the
country, widespread speculation exists that the nine individual accounts
seized belong to the
upper echelons of the DPRK elite. The U.S. has accused Banco Delta Asia
of accepting and
circulating DPRK origin supernotes.
undercover agents that the government of a nation — identified in the
indictment as
“country 2” — was producing counterfeit notes.19 Country two has been
widely cited
in the media as being North Korea. Another law enforcement operation led
to the
arrest in Northern Ireland of Sean Garland, a leading member of an Irish
Republican
Army faction on charges of circulating more than $1 million of
supernotes (believed
to be DPRK government produced) in Britain and Eastern Europe.20 A
request for
his extradition to the United States ensued in mid-October 2005.
In September 2005, U.S.A. Patriot Act Section 311 designations were
imposed
against Banco Delta Asia (BDA) in Macau. A subsequent finding was issued
that
BDA is a Financial Institution of Primary Money Laundering Concern21
resulting in
a proposed order imposing special measures against Banco Delta Asia.22
Following
the U.S. actions, the Macau government took control of BDA in Macau and
shut
down all North Korea-related accounts including, according to press
reports,
accounts belonging to 20 DPRK banks, 11 DPRK trading companies, and 9
individuals from North Korea.23
A Stanford University Honors Thesis Researcher, Sheena Chestnut, lists
thirteen reported incidents since 1994 of North Korean involvement in
smuggling/distributing counterfeit U.S. currency. All of these incidents
allegedly
occurred in either Asia or Europe. In them, the use of DPRK diplomatic
passports
CRS-8
24 See Chestnut, pp. 144-145. The South Korean media reports that
authorities there had
discovered 1,400 supernotes (presumed to be of DPRK origin) in April
2005, but little more
is known about such reports. See “DPRK’s manufacturing of counterfeit
money was
common sense within the National Intelligence Service,” Chosun Ilbo
(Internet Version)
December 27, 2005.
25 Torode, Greg. “Fake US Supernotes Find Their Way to HK. Pyongyang’s
Counterfeit
Bills Are Seized from American in Transit.” South China Morning Post,
March 5, 2006,
p. 3. Supernotes have reportedly shown up on 2005-2006 in Peru,
Paraguay, Mongolia,
Hong Kong, and Ethiopia.
26 See Sanger, David E., “U.S. Is Shaping Plan to Pressure North Korea,”
New York Times,
February 14, 2005,p. A-1. Note that this amount is more likely to be $48
million, although
apparently not publically cited.
27 See discussion in CRS Report RL32167, Drug Trafficking and North
Korea: Issues for
U.S. Policy, by Raphael Perl. See also CRS Report RL32493, The North
Korean Economy:
Background and Policy Analysis, by Dick Nanto and Emma Chanlett-Avery.
For the $15
million figure on counterfeiting, see Korea Herald, Nov.16, 1998. See
also, “Is Your
Money Real?”, Newsweek, June 10, 1996, p. 10. According to some sources,
income from
counterfeiting is considerably higher, i.e. $100 million. (See May 20,
2003 congressional
testimony of Larry Wortzel of the Heritage Foundation.) It is said that
the U.S. detects
somewhere around $3-4 million per year in DPRK origin supernotes. Rough
calculations of
the total amount of DPRK bogus supernotes in circulation in recent years
are achieved by
(continued...)
and the involvement of DPRK diplomats, embassy personnel, and DPRK
government
trading company officials connect most of these incidents to the
government of North
Korea in varying degrees. Taken collectively, the link is seen as being
even stronger.
Of these 13 incidents, 6 have occurred since 1999, the time after which
the NIS
reportedly is unable to conclude that the DPRK continued producing
counterfeit
notes.24 As recently as March 2006, counterfeit supernotes were
reportedly seized by
police in Hong Kong from a Chinese-American man in transit from Macau.25
Amount of Bogus U.S. Currency
The amount of alleged DPRK-produced counterfeit currency in circulation
is
unknown. U.S. officials have been quoted citing a figure of $45 million
since 1989.26
Presumably this is the amount detected by the Federal Reserve. Officials
familiar
with the bogus currency in question, however, note its exceptional
quality — so good
that many cashier-level bank employees would likely not be able to
detect the
forgeries. This raises speculation that North Korea — if it is indeed
producing the
fakes — might need somehow to mark the currency to be able to identify
its own
bogus notes after production.
The amount of money that the bogus supernotes allegedly bring to the
coffers
of the North Korean government is unknown as well. Hence, estimates of
the profit
such transactions bring to the Pyongyang regime — to the extent they are
based on
open source material — are speculative at best. Amounts commonly cited,
which
take into account many factors, range from $15 million to $25 million in
profit per
year.27 It has been reported that in the North Korean counterfeit
currency market, a
CRS-9
27 (...continued)
multiplying this figure by a factor of 3 or 4 for an estimate of 9-$16
million being placed in
circulation per year. However, the exact amount remains elusive given
the fact that much
of the currency is passed in remote places and arguably banks have no
financial incentive
to report such forgeries if they can pass them on. Data on amounts of
U.S. dollars
counterfeited are not widely publicized so as not to undermine
confidence in the U.S. dollar.
North Korean counterfeit U.S. $100 notes have been detected in at least
14 countries
including the United States since the 1970’s according to media reports.
On June 20, 2004,
the BBC aired a “Superdollar” special which traced counterfeit $100
bills from North Korea
to an official IRA source in the U.K. Reportedly millions of fake $100
bills were laundered
through a bureaux de change in Britain. In July, 1996, a former member
of the Japanese Red
Army, traveling on a DPRK diplomatic passport was arrested in Thailand
while trying to
pass counterfeit U.S. $100 bills. See “Japanese Fake Bill Suspect Had N.
Korean Passport,”
Kyodo News, July 5, 1996. For data on other forms of DPRK
criminal/smuggling activity,
see Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas, by Marcus
Noland, Institute
for International Economics, Washington, D.C., June 2000, p.119. U.S.
military sources
reportedly estimated DPRK income from counterfeiting of U.S. currency at
$15-20 million
for the year 2001. See “N.K. Exported $580 Million Worth of Missiles to
Middle East,”
Seoul Yonhap (English), May 13, 2003, citing Japanese Yomiuri Shimbum
report of May 12,
2003.
28 “Smuggler’s Tale: The Chinese Connection.” Dong’A Ilbo (Internet
version) January 27,
2006. Reported by Open Source Center.
29 This is but one of a string of DPRK denials. David L. Asher, former
Coordinator of the
State Department’s North Korea Working Group, in his February 1, 2006
remarks to the
American Enterprise Institute cited another DPRK denial: “We had neither
counterfeited
currency nor gotten involved in any illegal trafficking.”
30 See KCNA (official North Korean News Agency) broadcast of 1006 GMT,
February 9,
(continued...)
printed counterfeit $100 bill trades at 30% of its face value while
electronically
copied currency made with color copy machines trades at 10% of its face
value.28
Denial of Counterfeiting by North Korea
The DPRK has consistently denied allegations of state involvement in
criminal
activity, specifically in any counterfeiting activity, and it has vowed
to resist U.S.
pressure over the matter. A January 24, 2006 commentary carried by the
state-run
Korean Central News Agency reported that Pyongyang “does not allow such
things
as bad treatment of the people, counterfeiting, and drug trafficking.”29
In what may
be an indication of DPRK willingness to curb any illicit counterfeiting
activity, the
DPRK Foreign Ministry announced on February 9, 2006, that “there is no
evidence
proving (North Korea’s) issue of counterfeit notes or money laundering”
but that the
country “will as ever actively join the international actions against
money
laundering.... It is the consistent policy of the (North Korean)
government to oppose
all sorts of illegal acts in the financial field.” The Foreign Ministry
spokesman went
on to say that the DPRK has “perfect legal and institutional mechanisms
to combat
such illegal acts as counterfeiting notes and money laundering, and any
illegal acts
are liable to severe punishment.”30
CRS-10
30 (...continued)
2006. Reported in “North Korea vows to join international anti-money
laundering drive,”
MSN News, Feb. 9, 2006, and untitled AP report from Seoul of February 9,
2006.
Statements by a DPRK Foreign Ministry spokesperson are typically
reserved for high level
communications with the outside world. Reuters and Agence France Presse
(AFP) reported
on the broadcast as well.
31 See CRS Report RL32493, The North Korean Economy: Background and
Policy Analysis,
by Dick Nanto and Emma Chanlett-Avery, January 2005. For a discussion of
U.S. response
options reportedly reviewed see “U.S. is Shaping Plan to Pressure North
Korea,” by David
E. Sanger, New York Times, Feb. 14, 2005, A-1.
State-Sponsored Counterfeiting?
Assuming that production of bogus U.S. currency is actually taking place
in
North Korea, some suggest that this does not necessarily mean that such
activity is
being done under government sponsorship, direction, or supervision. They
argue that
counterfeiting is a criminal phenomenon that is widespread throughout
the world, and
it is rarely, if ever, state-sponsored. Others say that there may be
merit to such
arguments, but North Korea could be an exception to any such norms.
It can be said that it is widely acknowledged that the Pyongyang regime
engages
— or has engaged — in a broad range of other crime for profit activity.
Hence,
inhibitions against counterfeiting may not be strong. The sophisticated
type of
equipment reportedly required for the production of supernotes is
generally tightly
controlled and generally restricted for sale to governments. Finally,
North Korea is
a closed authoritarian regime, and, as such, it is unlikely that any
counterfeiting
activity — which requires centralized production — would not be
government
sponsored, or at some point, come under government control.
A Summary of Main Points
Information publically available suggests an expansion in both the scale
and
scope of North Korean cash-generating, criminal activity. This possibly
indicates a
situation in which criminal activity is playing an increasingly pivotal
role in
supporting North Korea’s fragile economy. 31
It is widely acknowledged that undetermined millions of dollars of
so-called
U.S. $100 supernotes are currently in circulation. Given the
sophistication of the
bills, many have concluded that they are government produced. The
government of
North Korea has a demonstrated history of engaging in criminal activity
to raise cash.
It arguably has the disposition, opportunity, and technical means to
produce forged
supernotes.
Past production by North Korea of forged U.S. currency — at least until
1998
— has been reported by South Korea’s National Intelligence Service.
Indications of
Pyongyang’s more recent production of forged U.S. currency have
seemingly been
posited by defectors, and by Chinese investigators as well.
CRS-11
32 Note for example, that one operation against what is believed to be
North Korean linked
contraband smugglers reportedly netted not only some $4 million in
supernotes, but also
$700 in counterfeit U.S. postage stamps. See “Crime does pay for North
Korea,” by Peter
Brooks, Boston Herald (op-ed), January 17, 2006.
33 Note that press reports indicate that the U.S. Secret Service
estimates $43.4 million in
counterfeit currency was circulated in the United States in 2004 alone.
It is estimated that
$700 billion in genuine U.S. currency exists worldwide. Generally,
disclosure that large
amounts of U.S. currency in use worldwide might be bogus would likely be
seen not to serve
the best interests of the nation. As a result, some suggest the United
States may be
downplaying the scale of alleged DPRK counterfeiting activity — but
nevertheless
according it the high policy priority the actual level of such activity
warrants.
34 See footnote number 18.
35 Asher, David L. “The North Korean Criminal State, its Ties to
Organized Crime, and the
Possibility of WMD Proliferation.” The Nautilus Institute. Policy Forum
Online 05-92A:
November 15th, 2005.
Many observers are convinced that the DPRK has been counterfeiting U.S.
currency as matter of state policy. However, it is not fully clear from
public sources
whether North Korean state enterprises have continued to produce bogus
dollars after
1998. At issue here is whether bills now being circulated are new or
solely from
stashes of earlier production runs. There appears to be a reasonable
case that North
Korea has continued to counterfeit U.S. currency since 1998. Also, not
clear or
publically announced, is the extent to which Pyongyang may have
counterfeited —
or may be counterfeiting — currencies other than the dollar.32
As North Korea is a secretive and closed society, activity taking place
within the
country, such as production of bogus foreign currencies — to the extent
that such
activities exist — may be difficult to demonstrate publically without
compromising
fragile intelligence sources and methods. In contrast, distribution of
counterfeit U.S.
currency is likely to take place in countries where the money can
purchase items of
value, i.e., more open and economically successful societies.33 Numerous
arrests
outside the United States and recent indictments clearly involve
individuals with
links to the government of North Korea or its state-run enterprises.34
This being the
case, it is difficult to conclude that the government of North Korea has
not been
involved — at least until very recently — in distributing bogus U.S.
currency.
Policy Implications
For the United States the North Korean counterfeiting of U.S. currency
combined with secondary effects has a direct bearing on U.S. interests.
Counterfeiting of one nation’s currency by another generally is
considered to be an
act of economic warfare — a direct attack on the U.S. financial
system.35 There is
a large difference between criminal counterfeiting by private parties
and that done or
sanctioned by a nation. The counterfeiting, itself, might undermine
confidence in
the U.S. dollar and, if done extensively enough, potentially damage the
U.S.
economy. If the extent of counterfeiting were in the range of $15
million to $25
million per year, however, this would represent a relatively small
amount compared
with the total U.S. supply of currency or the amount circulating abroad.
As of
CRS-12
36 The Federal Reserve Board. Currency and Coin Services. On Internet at
[http://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentssystems/coin/default.htm]
37 The Federal Reserve Board. Currency in Circulation: Value. On
Internet at
[http://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/coin/currcircvalue.htm].
38 The Department of the Treasury. Budget in Brief FY2007. P. 87.
39 U.S. General Accountability Office. Testimony. Counterfeit U.S.
Currency Abroad:
Observations on Counterfeiting and U.S. Deterrence Efforts. February 27,
1996
(GAO/T-GGD-96-82).
February 2006, currency in circulation — that is, U.S. coins and paper
currency in the
hands of the public — totaled about $780 billion. Since 1994, the value
of currency
in circulation has risen at the rate of 6.5% per year, mostly stemming
from foreign
demand. The U.S. Federal Reserve estimates that between one-half and
two-thirds
of the value of currency in circulation is held outside the United
States.36 In the
United States, most domestic transactions (by value) are done either
electronically
or by checks, not cash. As of December 2004, 72% of the value of
currency in
circulation consisted of $100 notes, the denomination allegedly
counterfeited by the
DPRK.37
Counterfeiting also can reduce the confidence by foreigners in the
dollar. The
dollar has become the predominant medium of exchange in international
transactions.
Such degraded confidence in the dollar usually can be manifested either
by a
surcharge on certain denominations when converting dollars to foreign
exchange or
in certain denominations of the dollar not being accepted at all.
Currently, this
affects Americans and other holders of dollar currency who rely on cash
for
transactions rather than credit cards, checks, or bank transfers. If the
counterfeiting
were to become extensive enough, however, it might depress the overall
exchange
value of the dollar.
Even though the suspected amount of counterfeiting by the DPRK is
relatively
small when compared with all U.S. currency in circulation, its
importance to
Pyongyang and the ruling communist party could be significant. It
apparently helps
fund travel abroad, meet “slush fund” purchases of foreign goods, and
subsidize the
lifestyles of the privileged class in Pyongyang.
Even though the macroeconomic effect of a counterfeiting operation
generating
around $15 million to $25 million per year is minor, counterfeiting,
itself, is a
violation of U.S. law. The Treasury, including the Secret Service, and
the Federal
Reserve have primary responsibilities for addressing the counterfeiting
of U.S.
currency. The Federal Reserve’s role is to distribute and ensure the
physical
integrity, including the authenticity, of U.S. currency. The Secretary
of the Treasury
is responsible for issuing and protecting U.S. currency. The Bureau of
Engraving and
Printing produces the currency. It has announced that one of its
priorities for FY2006
and FY2007 is to redesign the $100 note.38 The Secret Service conducts
investigations of counterfeiting activities, provides
counterfeit-detection training, and
is responsible for anticounterfeiting efforts abroad.39
CRS-13
40 The Department of the Treasury. Treasury Designates Banco Delta Asia
as Primary
Money Laundering Concern under USA Patriot Act. Press Release JS-2720.
September 15,
2005.
41 See, for example Case 1:05-cr-00185, Filed May 19, 2005, in the U.S.
District Court for
the District of Columbia. United States of America v. Sean Garland, et
al.
42 Fairclough, Gordon. “Politics & Economics: Banks Cut Ties to North
Korea — U.S.
Threat Toward One Lender Has Surprisingly Big Ripple Effect.” The Wall
Street Journal,
February 14, 2006. P. A6.
43 James A. Kelly. An Overview of U.S.-East Asia Policy, Testimony
before the House
(continued...)
So far, the United States had taken a two-pronged (but overlapping)
approach
toward North Korea’s alleged counterfeiting activities: law enforcement
and
political/security pressures. The law-enforcement prong involves
prosecuting or
sanctioning individuals and/or institutions involved in the distribution
of the bogus
currency. The action taken against the Banco Delta Asia in Macau for
suspected
money laundering was done under Section 311 of the Patriot Act. In the
action,
Treasury stated that the bank was a “primary money laundering concern”
because,
among other findings, sources indicated that “senior officials in Banco
Delta Asia are
working with DPRK officials to accept large deposits of cash, including
counterfeit
U.S. currency, and agreeing to place that currency into circulation.”40
The Treasury
has been careful to define this action as a law-enforcement measure, not
a sanction.
U.S. prosecutors also have entered indictments in U.S. courts against
persons charged
with conspiracy to commit counterfeit acts outside the United States or
to make, deal,
and possess counterfeit U.S. currency with the intent to defraud.41
The U.S. action against Banco Delta Asia caused an avalanche of
responses both
in financial and political circles. It caused such a run on accounts at
the bank that the
government of Macau had to take over operations and place a temporary
halt on
withdrawals. The financial effects have been larger than expected. Not
only has it
deprived major DPRK companies of an international financial base and cut
into the
secret personal accounts of the Pyongyang leadership, but it appears to
have
obstructed some legitimate North Korean trade. DPRK banks and traders
reportedly
are having difficulty finding other lenders to conduct their overseas
business. Banks
from other nations (such as the United Overseas Bank of Singapore and
the Korea
Exchange Bank of South Korea) have moved to sever contacts with North
Korea,
fearing that they, too, could face U.S. legal action.42
The political/security prong attempts to stop the alleged counterfeiting
activity
by changing the cost-benefit calculus of decision makers in Pyongyang.
The strategy
is to increase costs and reduce benefits in order to induce decision
makers to halt the
activity. The inducements used are aimed primarily at raising costs and
include the
Illicit Activities Initiative, the Proliferation Security Initiative,
diplomatic pressures,
as well as possible military threats and other policy related measures.
The Illicit Activities Initiative, coordinated by the U.S. Department of
State, is
aimed precisely at North Korea’s alleged counterfeiting and other
illicit activities.
It is being developed in cooperation with other nations.43 The
Proliferation Security
CRS-14
43 (...continued)
International Relations Committee, Washington, DC. June 2, 2004.
44 U.S. Department of State. Bureau of Nonproliferation. The
Proliferation Security
Initiative (PSI) (Fact Sheet). May 26, 2005. Congressional Research
Service report
RS21881, Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), by Sharon Squassoni.
45 Sanger, David. Questions Without Answers: the Korean Conundrum
[Review]. The New
York Times, January 19, 2006. Pg. E.9.
46 U.S. Department of State. North Korea-U.S. Statement. Press Statement
2005/T13-29,
September 19, 2005.
47 See, for example: Choe, Sang-Hun. Roh Warns U.S. Over N. Korea. Blunt
Speech
Shows Rift Between Allies. International Herald Tribune, January 26,
2006, pg. 1.
48 For details, see CRS Issue Brief IB98045, Korea: U.S.-Korean
Relations — Issues for
Congress, by Larry A. Niksch.
Initiative (PSI) is part of the larger counter proliferation effort
worldwide and aimed
at more countries and groups than just North Korea — but the DPRK does
receive
a particular focus. The PSI activity has received support from more than
60 countries
and more formal participation from 11 countries, particularly Japan,
Australia, the
United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. Under the PSI,
participating
countries cooperate to prevent transfers of weapons of mass
destruction-related items
to or from nation states and non state actors of proliferation concern.
It does this
through intelligence sharing, diplomatic efforts, law enforcement, and
interdiction.44
Policymakers reportedly are divided on the ultimate goal of squeezing
North
Korea on its alleged illicit activities. A group of policymakers
(sometimes referred
to as the “hawks”) favoring regime change seeks ultimately to induce a
crisis within
the DPRK that would lead to the downfall of Kim Jong-il. One way to
achieve this
is to cut off the money the DPRK generates from counterfeiting, selling
illicit drugs,
and exporting missiles. A second group of policymakers more in favor of
engagement, seeks to resolve the North Korean problem mainly by
negotiations. Its
goal is to change the “bad behavior” of the DPRK by bringing the country
into the
circle of peaceful nations and inducing it to act in accord with
international
standards.45 Each group backs initiatives to curb Pyongyang’s alleged
counterfeiting,
but each sees the measures in a different light.
Some observers surmise that the financial action against Banco Delta
Asia
announced on September 15, 2005, fell too close to the September 19
joint agreement
by the DPRK, the United States, and other participants in the six-party
talks to be a
coincidence. At the end of this fourth round of talks, the DPRK signed
an agreement
that set out a “visionary view of the end point of the process of the
denuclearization
of the Korean Peninsula.”46 These observers opine that the action was
backed by socalled
“hawks” in the Bush Administration to scuttle progress being made on the
diplomatic front. The United States had known about the counterfeiting
and money
laundering activities for years. Why wait, they say, until the middle of
a round of the
six-party talks to take action?47 Pyongyang appears to be using the
Banco Delta Asia
action as a pretext to stay away from further talks.48 Other observers
state, however,
that law enforcement efforts have a timetable of their own and that the
Banco Delta
CRS-15
49 Ambassador Lee Tae-sik’s Speech Given at the St. Regis Hotel
(Washington, DC). The
Korea-US Alliance - A Partnership for the Future, February 7, 2006.
Korea Economic
Institute.
[http://www.keia.com/2-Publications/2-6-Other/LeeTSspeech.pdf]
50 ROK Editorial Says ROK-US ‘Discord’ Over DPRK Counterfeiting
‘Worrisome.” Dong-
A Ilbo, in Korean, January 25, 2006, p. 31. Translation by the U.S.
Embassy in Seoul.
Provided by Open Source Center.
51 Hayes Says Counterfeiting Issue Sidetracks Nuclear Negotiations.
Nautilus Weekly,
February 27 - March 3, 2006 . Quote by Nautilus Institute Executive
Director Peter Hayes
speaking on Chicago Public Radio’s Worldview Program.
52 Reuters. Crackdown on North Korea Strains US-South Ties. January 28,
2006.
53 U.S. Department of the Treasury. Treasury Officials Brief North
Koreans on Actions to
Stem DPRK Illicit Financial Activity. Press Release JS-4099, March 7,
2006. “N. Korea
Agrees to Discuss Counterfeit Issue with U.S.” The Chosun Ilbo. (Digital
edition) February
24, 2006.
Asia action occurred after a three-year investigation when the evidence
gathering and
other preparations were complete.
The position of the United States is that counterfeiting is an illegal
activity that
cannot be allowed to continue. This is a separate issue from the
six-party talks. The
South Korean government also has taken a firm position on this. It has
clearly
communicated to North Korea that such illicit activities are not
acceptable and that
Pyongyang should unequivocally turn away from such illicit behavior once
and for
all. South Korea also thinks the Banco Delta Asia issue and the nuclear
negotiations
should not be linked and that North Korea should return to the six-party
talks.49
Seoul reportedly has tried in vain to reach a compromise with the United
States to
consider Pyongyang’s counterfeiting activities illegal conduct by
individual North
Korean firms and not by the government of the DPRK.50 One observer
stated that the
bigger question being asked by China and South Korea is why is the
United States
chasing after North Korea’s “loose change” when the country is making
plutonium,
the real currency of state power?51
Although South Korea has reluctantly supported the U.S. position on the
counterfeiting issue, the country has different interests. While
Washington is using
both law enforcement and political means to place financial pressure on
Pyongyang,
Seoul is looking for some compromise. The basic interests of the Bush
Administration lie in stopping the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction,
fighting terrorism, and protecting U.S. currency. South Korea, under
President Roh
Moo-hyun, has placed priority on attaining regional peace, regional
prosperity,
engagement, and eventual long-term unification with the DPRK.52
On March 7, 2006, North Korea’s Li Gun (head of the North America
division
of North Korea’s Foreign Ministry) met with Assistant U.S. Treasury
Secretary
Daniel Glaser at the United Nations in New York as part of a back
channel for
communicating with each other.53 The U.S. side spent about 20 minutes
explaining
its actions against Banco Delta Asia and what it expected from the DPRK.
The
DPRK reportedly suggested several actions to resolve the issue and for
it to return
to the six-party talks (including the lifting of the financial sanctions
on Banco Delta
CRS-16
54 Kessler, Glenn. N. Korea Sets Terms for Return to Nuclear Talks . The
Washington Post,
March 9, 2006. P. A16. DPRK Reportedly Proposed ‘Method’ to Resolve
Financial
Dispute, Waits for US Response. Open Source Center report of Yonhap news
article: N.
Korea Vows Not To Join Nuclear Talks Unless U.S. Sanctions Are Lifted,
March 8, 2006.
Center-Left ROK Daily Carries Exclusive Interview With DPRK Delegate to
New York
Meeting. Open Source Center report of article in Seoul Hankyoreh
(Internet version) in
Korean. March 8, 2006.
55 U.S. Rejected N. Korean Financial Proposal-Kyodo. Reuters News. March
15, 2006.
56 Herskovitz, Jon and Jack Kim. U.S. Says S. Korea Fake Notes Made in
North. Reuters
News, February 22, 2006.
57 Chinese Banks Cut Transactions with North Korea-related Firms (From
Kyodo News
Service). BBC Monitoring Asia Pacific. March 13, 2006.
58 ROK Daily Cites Diplomatic Source: PRC Confirms DPRK Money-Laundering
in Macau
Open Source Center report of article by Chosun Ilbo (WWW-Text in
English), January 11,
2006. [Chosun Ilbo headline: “China Finds N.Korea Guilty of Money
Laundering”]
59 Fifield, Anna. “North Korea Is ‘Looking to Beat’ US Financial
Sanctions.” Financial
Times, March 13, 2006. P. 1.
60 Treasury Issues Advisory on North Korean Banking. Bulletin News
Network, the White
House Bulletin, March 16, 2006.
Asia, forming a joint U.S.-North Korean task force to examine the
counterfeiting
concerns, giving North Korea access to the U.S. banking system, and
providing North
Korea with technical help on identifying counterfeit bills).54 The
United States
reportedly has rejected these North Korean suggestions.55 Separately,
the U.S.
ambassador in Seoul indicated that Washington wants Pyongyang to prove
that tools
used to counterfeit U.S. currency had been destroyed as evidence that
North Korea
had abandoned such illegal activities.56
Since Portugal has returned Macao to China, Beijing now has supervisory
responsibility over Banco Delta Asia. China has been attempting to
modernize its
banking system, and for one of its banks to be accused of money
laundering clearly
does Beijing no good. This places pressure on China to ensure that Banco
Delta Asia
and other banks are clean. Immediately after the Banco Delta action,
major Chinese
banks dealing with foreign exchange reportedly refrained from
transactions with
North Korean-related firms.57 China conducted a three-month
investigation of the
accusations against Banco Delta Asia that, according to South Korean
diplomatic
sources, confirmed the suspicions. Based on the findings, China
reportedly is trying
to convince North Korea that it needs to take steps in the matter.58
North Koreans also are reportedly attempting to circumvent the financial
measures, but they have declined to disclose how they are doing it.59
Traditionally,
North Koreans have used Chinese banks for many of their international
transactions,
and some surmise that Kim Jong-il’s trip to southern China in January
2006 may
have included an attempt to move some North Korean accounts to a
financial
institution there. The U.S. Treasury has said that some reports suggest
that North
Korean agencies have been transferring assets to banks in China.60
Others note that
Austrian banks have not refrained from making transactions with North
Korea.
CRS-17
61 Major Chinese Banks Refrain From Dealing with N. Korean Firms. Kyodo
News. March
13, 2006.
62 Japan to raise North Korea’s alleged laundering, drug trafficking in
talks (From Kyodo
News Service), BBC Monitoring Asia Pacific, February 1, 2006. P. 1.
63 For legislation, see; CRS Issue Brief IB98045, Korea: U.S.-Korean
Relations — Issues
for Congress, by Larry A. Niksch.
64 U.S. asks NK to Join Int’l Group on Money Laundering. Yonhap English
News. March
12, 2006.
65 Brinkley, Joel. U.S. Squeezes North Korea’s Money Flow. The New York
Times, March
10, 2006. P. 12.
Financial transactions with North Korea apparently still can be done
through Austria
and Switzerland.61
Japan also seeks to defuse tensions with the DPRK, but Japan has
cooperated
with the United States in both the Proliferation Security and Illicit
Activities
Initiatives. In talks in February 2006 on normalization of relations
with Pyongyang,
Japan announced that it intended to take up North Korea’s illicit
activities, including
counterfeiting, in order to strengthen policy coordination with the
United States and
the European Union.62
Congress will likely continue its interest in this topic including
oversight of
Bush Administration actions, holding hearings to clarify U.S. policy, or
using the
congressional pulpit to send messages to North Korea.63 Congress may
explore
possible criminal charges against Kim Jong-il in a manner similar to
those against
Manuel Noriega, the former leader of Panama, for drug trafficking. Other
policy
levers using human rights or other issues also could be employed. The
United States
has suggested to the DPRK that it join the Asia-Pacific Group on Money
Laundering
(APG), a 30 member group (including the United States, Japan, and South
Korea)
launched in 1997 as a sub-organization of the Organization of Economic
Cooperation
and Development. It is aimed at preventing illegal financial activities
in the
Asia-Pacific region and would subsequently require the disclosure of all
of the
DPRK’s illicit financial activities.64 North Korea experts believe,
however, that it
will not be easy for the North to join the 30 member group.
The current strategy of the Bush Administration reportedly is to
pressure North
Korea but continue the diplomatic process. The fundamental issue is
whether the
United States should place its policy bet on the success of the
six-party talks with
various economic and security inducements to achieve the ultimate goals
of
dismantling the DPRK’s nuclear weapon program or whether it should
continue to
administer economic and other pressures to induce Pyongyang to give up
its nuclear
ambitions and use the six-party talks as the vehicle to accept a
possible North Korea
capitulation.65
Since, the effect of the Banco Delta Asia action has Pyongyang
scrambling, a
question is whether the United States could ease its financial pressure
on North
Korea enough for the six-party talks to go forward or whether it should
tighten the
financial squeeze more — even at the risk of raising the ire of China
and South
CRS-18
Korea. Neither of these countries thinks an economic collapse or regime
change in
North Korea is likely to result from economic sanctions, and neither
desires to deal
with the economic and political effects that would follow should such a
collapse
occur. Yet to be determined, is the extent to which such broader
strategic
considerations should perhaps govern the ultimate, detailed response to
the problem
of North Korean counterfeiting of U.S. currency and other
crime-for-profit-activity. North Korean Counterfeiting of U.S.
Currency
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress
CRS Report for Congress North Korean |