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The worst U.S. monthly job loss in 34 years stoked further selling in
the energy sector Friday, with shares of natural gas producers leading
losses in a sector rocked by a stream of bad economic news, predictions
of $25 a barrel oil and steep losses in the broad market.
With U.S. retail gasoline prices falling to $1.77 a gallon and crude
futures retreating toward the $40 mark, investors have had little reason
to dive into shares of crude oil and natural gas producers, not to
mention oil refiners and drilling companies.
On Friday, the U.S. reported a loss of 533,000 jobs the biggest drop
since 1974, with an overall employment rate rising to 6.7%.
Others are calling on oil to trade as low as $25 a share if the world
economy continues to weaken in China, Merrill Lynch commodities analyst
Francisco Blanch noted this week.
In the oil service sector, Tudor Pickering Holt on Friday noted it
expects U.S. rig counts among drillers to continue to fall.
Citing "multiple anecdotes from operating-level folks," the
Houston-based research firm is now forecasting "meaningful rig laydowns
/ rig count declines in coming few weeks."
U.S. employers axed payrolls by 533,000 jobs in November, the most in 34
years and far more than expected, government data on Friday showed, as
the year-old recession hammered every corner of the U.S. economy.
U.S. stock markets opened lower, oil prices and the dollar weakened and
U.S. government bond prices rallied as the data showed the U.S. downturn
was deepening.
"You can't get much uglier than this. The economy has just collapsed,
and has gone into a free fall," said Richard Yamarone, chief economist
at Argus Research in New York.
The Labor Department said the unemployment rate rose to 6.7 percent last
month, the highest since 1993, from 6.5 percent in October. It would
have been even higher except for an exodus of Americans who became
discouraged in their search for work and left the labor force.
"This is a clear employment blowout. Firms are reacting as dramatically
as they can to make sure they have cost structures they can survive the
recession," said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors in
Holland, Pennsylvania.
The dismal data sparked calls for aggressive government action to shore
up an economy that appears to be facing its deepest downturn since the
early 1980s.
"This jobs picture painted today is staggering, and it should be all the
evidence Washington needs to act swiftly and decisively to shore up this
economy," said Sen. Charles Schumer, a New York Democrat who chairs the
congressional Joint Economic Committee.
Broadening economic weakness has already prompted the U.S. Federal
Reserve to dramatically lower interest rates to 1 percent and it is
expected to trim its benchmark federal funds target toward zero later
this month and next, while also exploring other unconventional measures
to support growth.
A worldwide credit crisis sparked by mounting defaults on U.S. mortgages
has pushed economies around the globe into or toward recession. Canada
said earlier on Friday its economy shed 70,600 jobs in November, the
most since June 1982.
U.S. job losses in November were the steepest since December 1974, when
602,000 jobs were shed, and were much worse than the consensus on Wall
Street for a 340,000 reduction.
In addition, job losses in recent months turned out to be worse than
previously reported. October's loss was revised to show a cut of
320,000, originally given as a 240,000 loss, while September's drop was
revised to 403,000 from 284,000.
That meant 199,000 more jobs were lost in September and October than
previously thought and the total reduction in U.S. nonfarm payrolls for
the last three months was 1.256 million, with almost 2 million shed in
the year so far.
"It's just a disaster," said Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at
RBS Greenwich in Greenwich, Conn.
Service-providing businesses alone shed 370,000 jobs in November, or
two-thirds of the overall job declines, following a loss of 153,000 jobs
the month before.
That meant labor market weakness has now shifted over from the
goods-producing sectors of the economy to the far more important
services sector, which delivers almost 80 percent of U.S. output.
Employment in manufacturing dropped by 85,000, while construction
payrolls shrank by 82,000 jobs. Construction employment has declined for
17 straight months, and factory jobs have declined 29 straight months.
The length of the workweek slipped to 33.5 hours, the shortest since
records began in 1964, a Labor Department official said. The drop in the
workweek could point to further job losses ahead as business cut back
sharply on production.
Crude futures slid another 3% to the $42 a barrel level on the drum beat
of bad economic newsd
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